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Journal Article
Diffenbaugh NS, Ashfaq M, Scherer M.  2011.  Transient regional climate change: Analysis of the summer climate response in a high-resolution, century-scale ensemble experiment over the continental United States. Journal of Geophysical Research. 116(D24)
Ashfaq M, Shi Y, Tung W-wen, Trapp RJ, Gao X, Pal JS, Diffenbaugh NS.  2009.  Suppression of south Asian summer monsoon precipitation in the 21st century. 36(1):L01704.
Diffenbaugh NS, Ashfaq M, Shuman B, Williams JW, Bartlein PJ.  2006.  Summer aridity in the United States: Response to mid-Holocene changes in insolation and sea surface temperature. 33(22):L22712.
Ashfaq M, Rastogi D, Mei R, Touma D, L. Leung R.  2016.  Sources of errors in the simulation of south Asian summer monsoon in the CMIP5 GCMs. Climate Dynamics.
Kapnick SB, Delworth TL, Ashfaq M, Malyshev S, Milly P.CD.  2014.  Snowfall less sensitive to warming in Karakoram than in Himalayas due to a unique seasonal cycle. Nature Geoscience.
Kapnick SB, Delworth TL, Ashfaq M, Malyshev S, Milly P.CD.  2014.  Snowfall less sensitive to warming in Karakoram than in Himalayas due to a unique seasonal cycle. Nature Geoscience. 7(11):834-840.
Diffenbaugh NS, Scherer M, Ashfaq M.  2012.  Response of snow-dependent hydrologic extremes to continued global warming. Nature Climate Change.
Diffenbaugh NS, Ashfaq M.  2007.  Response of California Current forcing to mid-Holocene insolation and sea surface temperatures. Paleoceanography. 22:1–7.
Naz BS, Kao S-C, Ashfaq M, Rastogi D, Mei R, Bowling LC.  2016.  Regional hydrologic response to climate change in the conterminous United States using high-resolution hydroclimate simulations. Global and Planetary Change. 143:100-117.
Pal JS, Giorgi F, Bi X, Elguindi N, Solmon F, Rauscher SA, Gao X, Francisco R, Zakey A, Winter J et al..  2007.  Regional Climate Modeling for the Developing World: The ICTP RegCM3 and RegCNET. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 88(9):1395-1409.
Kao S-C, Sale MJ, Ashfaq M, Martinez RUria, Kaiser DP, Wei Y, Diffenbaugh NS.  2015.  Projecting changes in annual hydropower generation using regional runoff data: An assessment of the United States federal hydropower plants. Energy. 80:239-250.
Ashfaq M, Ghosh S, Kao S-C, Bowling LC, Mote P, Touma D, Rauscher SA, Diffenbaugh NS.  2013.  Near-term acceleration of hydroclimatic change in the western U.S.. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres. 118(19):10,676-10,693.
Touma D, Ashfaq M, Nayak MA, Kao S-C, Diffenbaugh NS.  2014.  A multi-model and multi-index evaluation of drought characteristics in the 21st century. Journal of Hydrology.
Diffenbaugh NS, Ashfaq M.  2010.  Intensification of hot extremes in the United States. 37(15):L15701.
Ashfaq M, Skinner CB, Diffenbaugh NS.  2010.  Influence of SST biases on future climate change projections. Climate Dynamics.
Ashfaq M, Bowling LC, Cherkauer K, Pal JS, Diffenbaugh NS.  2010.  Influence of climate model biases and daily-scale temperature and precipitation events on hydrological impacts assessment: A case study of the United States. Journal of Geophysical Research. 115(D14)
Ashfaq M, Rastogi D, Mei R, Kao S-C, Gangrade S, Naz BS, Touma D.  2016.  High-resolution ensemble projections of near-term regional climate over the continental United States. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres. 121(17):9943-9963.
Liu J, Hertel TW, Diffenbaugh NS, Delgado MS, Ashfaq M.  2015.  Future property damage from flooding: sensitivities to economy and climate change. Climatic Change. 132(4):741-749.
Pagán BR, Ashfaq M, Rastogi D, Kendall DR, Kao S-C, Naz BS, Mei R, Pal JS.  2016.  Extreme hydrological changes in the southwestern US drive reductions in water supply to Southern California by mid century. Environmental Research Letters. 11(9):094026.
Rastogi D, Kao S-C, Ashfaq M, Mei R, Kabela ED, Gangrade S, Naz BS, Preston BL, Singh N, Anantharaj VG.  2017.  Effects of climate change on probable maximum precipitation: A sensitivity study over the Alabama-Coosa-Tallapoosa River Basin. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres. 122354969511463142124284311324682996875713220202043477711611953740122261137087521128116734915205251991193913219048158(93393155141HY58741045241112):4808-4828.
Paull SH, Horton DE, Ashfaq M, Rastogi D, Kramer LD, Diffenbaugh NS, A. Kilpatrick M.  2017.  Drought and immunity determine the intensity of West Nile virus epidemics and climate change impacts. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences. 284289815220401413781625104009(1848):20162078.
Mei R, Ashfaq M, Rastogi D, Leung R, Dominguez F.  2015.  Dominating Controls for Wetter South Asian Summer Monsoon in the Twenty-First Century. Journal of Climate. 28(8):3400-3419.
Mani A, Tsai FT-C, Kao S-C, Naz BS, Ashfaq M, Rastogi D.  2016.  Conjunctive management of surface and groundwater resources under projected future climate change scenarios. Journal of Hydrology. 540:397-411.
Diffenbaugh NS, White MA, Jones GV, Ashfaq M.  2011.  Climate adaptation wedges: a case study of premium wine in the western United States. Environmental Research Letters. 6(2):1-11.